I work on problems where uncertainty is the substance of the question, not the noise around it: risk, modelling, and decisions made on incomplete information.

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My training is in naval engineering and in statistical and actuarial science, where I completed my PhD. Engineering is about how systems fail; actuarial science is about pricing the possibility that they will. Most of my work sits between the two.

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As an independent consultant I work mainly with risk managers and analytical teams on problems that don’t fit standard models.

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I teach in parallel: university students in statistics, econometrics and financial mathematics, and companies in AI and advanced analytics. Explaining a method is the most reliable test of having understood it.

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I am co-founder of Kairos, which applies machine learning and psychometric methods to how people are assessed and selected.

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I also write essays on technology and the meaning of technical work, and I compose music.

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